A coin is biased so that heads comes up thrice as likely as tails. For three independent tosses of a coin, what is the probability of getting at most two tails?
- AOption (a)
0.16
- BOption (b)
0.48
- COption (c)
0.58
- DOption (d)
0.98
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Correct answer
0.98
Why this answer is correct
Concept:
If A, B and C are 3 independent events, then P (A ∩ B ∩ C) = P(A) × P(B) × P(C)
Calculation:
Given coin is biased heads comes up thrice as likely as tails.
\( \Rightarrow P\left( H \right) = \frac{3}{4};and;P\left( T \right) = \frac{1}{4}\)
Let, T be a random variable for the no. of tails for 3 independent tosses.
\( \Rightarrow P\left( {T = 0} \right) = P\left( {HHH} \right) = {\left( {\frac{3}{4}} \right)^3} = \frac{{27}}{{64}}\)
\( \Rightarrow P\left( {T = 1} \right) = P\left( {HHT,;THH,;HTH} \right) = 3 \times \left( {\frac{3}{4} \times \frac{3}{4} \times \frac{1}{4}} \right); = \frac{{27}}{{64}}\)
\( \Rightarrow P\left( {T = 2} \right) = P\left( {TTH,;THT,;HTT} \right) = 3 \times \left( {\frac{1}{4} \times \frac{1}{4} \times \frac{3}{4}} \right) = \frac{9}{{64}}\)
\( \Rightarrow P\left( {T \le 2} \right) = ;P\left( {T = 0} \right) + ;P\left( {T = 1} \right) + ;P\left( {T = 2} \right) = \frac{{27}}{{64}} + \frac{{27}}{{64}} + \frac{9}{{64}} = \frac{{63}}{{64}} = 0.98\)